True Crime Analysis, Breakthroughs, Insights & Discussions Hosted by Bestselling Author Nick van der Leek

Bella and Ceecee: Murdered in their Beds?

At 1:04 in the clip below, CNN’s breezy narrator describes Watts murdering Bella in her bedroom. Really? Is that where Bella was murdered?

Let’s be clear, it’s been the contention of TCRS from the start that no one was murdered in their beds. Not Shan’ann, not Bella and not Ceecee. We’ve gone to some trouble thus far to discuss the ground zero of Shan’ann’s murder. Unlike the kids, Shan’ann’s shoes by the front door, the suitcase by the stairs, the Vivint alert and the doorbell camera footage, all provide a fairly clear glimpse of the final location of the 34-year-old saleswoman on Monday night.

Whether we postulate that Shan’ann was murdered immediately upon entering the home [at 01:48] or hours later [no later than 05:18], we still have a window of a handful of hours in which to definitively say Shan’ann was killed.

We don’t have anywhere near the same certainty about the children. The last time they were seen alive was Sunday afternoon/early evening. We’re not even clear about exactly when they were last seen, which is bizarre in itself.

The window of the children’s murders is anywhere from approximately 17:00 [depending on exactly when Bella FaceTimed with her grandfather] to roughly 05:00 the next morning. That’s roughly twelve hours of uncertainty about when. It’s also a very long period to be uncertain about where.

Did they have dinner? It appears Bella was snacking while she FaceTimed. It also appeared [again, strangely] that the kids swapped their snacks. Did they have dinner or snacks?

Fullscreen capture 20190210 123906

Were they bathed? [Watts claimed he gave his girls a shower and then put them in bed, Discovery Documents, page 584].

Fullscreen capture 20190210 122320

Did they watch tv before bed? Did they ever go to bed?

I recently discussed this aspect with a fellow true crime addict, and a new thought surfaced that I hadn’t considered before. While many of you may disagree with the details and the fineprint, try to take this in as a global hypothesis. It’s simply an idea or theory that came up during a discussion. The idea is to test, evaluate and explore some of the thoughts and ideas in it, and see where that might take us.


The broad pattern of the murder and disposal was that it was a carefully premeditated attempt to blend a triple murder within Watts’ normal, everyday schedule. So when the rest of the suburb is asleep, he’s not, but if he’s up earlier or goes to bed later than usual [or the kids meet their death at bedtime] who is to know?

He wakes up pretty much on schedule, and leaves to work pretty much on schedule, and goes to work roughly corresponding to where work needs him. From an outsider’s perspective there is minimal deviation. It’s just Mr Watts heading out on a Monday morning as usual.

What impression is Watts working at here? Watts is trying to achieve plausible deniability. When his family disappears where was he?

I was just going to work…

I was at work…

I was out near Roggen all day…

I was busy…

Fullscreen capture 20190210 131931

Watts also used his work, indirectly, as a cover for where he was during the Rockies game [when he had dinner with Kessinger]. He said he was at a work function with colleagues.

Clearly the neighbor picked up that it wasn’t normal for Watts to back his truck into the garage, and his coworkers at Anadarko said it was odd for Watts to be calling on a Sunday, or to be heading out to a well site straight from home on a Monday.

But Watts was probably counting on folks being less savvy about silly little details like that. Besides, who would really notice his truck at that time of the morning, and if they did, who would care? And if they did care, he was just loading tools, so what? What other choice did he have? Load up the Lexus? And drive where? For what? And how did he explain that?

If the cops did suspect him the GPS data wouldn’t be of much use because he’d visited a number of wells that day, and the next. What, were they gonna search every well? And if he played it cool, they wouldn’t suspect him to begin with.

Whatever the details of his plan, it seems Watts felt he could bury the crime inside plausible deniability. Getting up, going to work, and acting nonchalant.

If we take this psychology and apply it to the crime scene, and the question about where the children were murdered, a new scenario unfolds. 

And the scenario is this:

When Shan’ann arrives home the children are – plausibly enough – in their beds. They’re not asleep though, they’re dead, but Shan’ann won’t know that. She’ll simply quietly look in, see them lying there and presto – Watts has plausible deniability in plain sight with them.

I realize this scenario is at odds with the idea of Shan’ann not going upstairs at all, but let’s just explore it a little further, for argument’s sake. If the children were murdered early in the evening, and placed in their beds, by 02:00, roughly six hours after death, their bodies would likely be stiff and pungent. If Shan’ann entered the room, and approached them, or kissed them, there was a good chance she might notice their palor, or smell something. So perhaps Watts murders the children late at night, shortly after finding out Shan’ann’s flight would be delayed.

In this scenario when Shan’ann arrives the children are in bed, and less blue, stiff and smelly. Alternatively, Watts could commit the crimes within half an hour, or minutes before Shan’ann arrives home. In this scenario the children are asleep in bed when they are killed, and then left where they are. Once again, it’s plausible deniability. At face value, they appear to be asleep but actually they’re not.

In this scenario, Shan’ann arrives home and possibly enters their bedrooms. She somehow realizes something is wrong. They’re not breathing, and their skin is cool or cold to the touch. Perhaps Shan’ann notices they’re blue. Instead of strangling her own children, Shan’ann tries to resuscitate them. Thus distracted, Watts then attacks her from behind and murders her. Perhaps his original plan was to kill her in her sleep as well, but her finding the kids dead prematurely forces him to abandon his plan.

Taking the scenario further, Nichol Kessinger noted that Watts felt the children’s blankets were smelly in their conversation Monday night. This suggests the children were dead in their beds, which left a lingering odor. By Monday night Watts felt a sense of urgency to wash these blankets.

Fullscreen capture 20190204 121721

Watts also disposed on blankets, apparently, somewhere between CERVI 319 and the house on Saratoga Trail. So the blankets appear to be virtually the only items missing in this case. This suggests that the blankets have something to do with the crime. Either they were wrapped in them for transportation, or they died in them, and the blankets were removed as part of the cover up.

Fullscreen capture 20190204 121822

There also appears to be some reinforcement to this from the dog handler, who picked up some interest in an area below Bella’s bed.

Fullscreen capture 20190210 121444Fullscreen capture 20190210 121500

Watts also indirectly references this psychology of death in the bed by referring to Shan’ann wanting to wash the airport out of her sheets, and off herself.

Fullscreen capture 20181216 025421Fullscreen capture 20190210 121157Fullscreen capture 20190210 122148Fullscreen capture 20190210 122207Fullscreen capture 20190210 123749Fullscreen capture 20190210 123840Fullscreen capture 20190210 124008Fullscreen capture 20181129 124705Fullscreen capture 20181208 170147Fullscreen capture 20181208 180519


Fullscreen capture 20181211 075904Fullscreen capture 20181211 081120Fullscreen capture 20181213 161600Fullscreen capture 20181213 161728Fullscreen capture 20181213 161734Fullscreen capture 20181213 161736Fullscreen capture 20181213 161741Fullscreen capture 20181213 161808Fullscreen capture 20181214 175921Fullscreen capture 20181214 175923Fullscreen capture 20181214 175926Fullscreen capture 20181214 175929Fullscreen capture 20181214 175932Fullscreen capture 20181214 175947 - CopyFullscreen capture 20181214 175951

Fullscreen capture 20190210 125355

Fullscreen capture 20190210 125519Fullscreen capture 20190210 125656

Fullscreen capture 20190210 125836Fullscreen capture 20190210 130020Fullscreen capture 20190210 130413Fullscreen capture 20190210 130422Fullscreen capture 20190210 130433Fullscreen capture 20190210 130505Fullscreen capture 20190210 130548Fullscreen capture 20190210 130608Fullscreen capture 20190210 130625Fullscreen capture 20190210 131158Fullscreen capture 20190210 131212Fullscreen capture 20190210 131224Fullscreen capture 20190210 131245Fullscreen capture 20190210 131311

Although the above scenario is credible in some ways, it’s not the position of TCRS, which remains that none of the murders were committed in any of the bedrooms upstairs.


The Final Three Weeks of the Phone Data Review #2YearsAgoTodayCW

In the last three weeks, the Phone Data Review becomes chock-full of drama, emotions, details and tension. As such, the episodes dealing with this period are invariably an hour to an hour-and-a-half in length.

Due to the time and effort editing videos and analyzing the data by applying True Crime Rocket Science [and what we know now] to what we thought we knew then, a world of possibilities, and a whirlwind of new insights emerge.

On Patreon, many who thought they had a clear grasp of the case have had their socks blown off. Are you ready to see the Watts case through a brand new lens, and from a brand new perspective?  If so, then you are go for launch.

Business Man Rocket in Background Light


#25: Episode 25: Did Kessinger tell Watts she loved him on July 25th? Is that why he Googled “how does it feel when someone says I love you…” and “when to say I love you in a new relationship”?

TCRS Cover Patreon Chris Watts Phone Data Review 25

#26: “3rd pregnancy & I’m feeling great! Not exhausted, not losing sleep, good mood!I’m glad I’m Thrivin” #2YearsAgoTodayCW

Fullscreen capture 20200808 131606

#27: If Watts and Kessinger were Addicted To Each Other – what was Shan’ann Addicted To?Fullscreen capture 20200808 131743

#28:“So damn sexy.” “You mean a lot to me.” #2YearsAgoTodayCW


Fullscreen capture 20200808 132107

#29: Shan’ann was onto him on July 29th: “You’re out of it from Playing” #2yearsagotodayCW

TCRS Cover Patreon Chris Watts Phone Data Review 29

#30: Love Letters For Kessinger, Vials of Poison for Shan’ann and Niko #2YearsAgoTodayCW

TCRS Cover Patreon Chris Watts Phone Data Review 30

#31: On July 31st, Watts Makes His First Attempt Against Baby Niko’s Life

TCRS Cover Patreon Chris Watts Phone Data Review 31

#32: “If you are not happy, it’s up to you to change that!” #2YearsAgoTodayCw

TCRS Cover Patreon Chris Watts Phone Data Review 32

#33: Nude Photos #2yearsAgoTodayCW

TCRS Cover Patreon Chris Watts Phone Data Review 33

#34: “You put a Dagger Between Us!” #2YearsAgoTodayCW

TCRS Cover Patreon Chris Watts Phone Data Review 34

#35: “I’m not going to worry about family. I will just remove it.” #2YearsAgoTodayCW

TCRS Cover Patreon Chris Watts Phone Data Review 35

#36: A DAY OF BIG DRAMA! “Would you stay with me if we didn’t have kids?” “I don’t want to lose the kids.” #2YearsAgoTodayCW

TCRS Cover Patreon Chris Watts Phone Data Review 36(2)

#37: On August 6th, Chris Watts Drops A Bomb On Shan’ann #2YearsAgoTodayCW

TCRS Cover Patreon Chris Watts Phone Data Review 37


#38:  “I’m scared to death…I really don’t want to leave here” #38 #2YearsAgoTodayCW [VIDEO VERSION]

TCRS Cover Patreon Chris Watts Phone Data Review 38(2)

TCRS Cover Patreon Chris Watts Phone Data Review 39
TCRS Cover Patreon Chris Watts Phone Data Review 40
TCRS Cover Patreon Chris Watts Phone Data Review 41



#2YearsAgoTodayCW Analysis of the Phone Data Review [Free 24 Episode Video Playlist]

Below is a playlist of around 24 videos that are essentially the narrated blogposts from the #1YearAgoTodayCW series posted on in July and August of 2019.

The series of full episodes terminate on Sunday June 24th, exactly three weeks before the murders. The remaining 21 episodes dealing with the dramatic and critical final three weeks can be viewed on Patreon for $1. Previews to some of these episodes – some 20 minutes in length – are available for free on YouTube as well.

#1 June 12th:

#2 June 14th:

#3 June 17th:

#4 June 19th:

#5 June 22nd:

#6 June 26th:

#7 June 30th:

#8 July 4th:

#9 July 5th:

#10 July 6th:

#11 July 7th:

#12 July 8th:

#13 July 9th:

#14 July 10th:

#15 July 13th & July 14th:

#16 July 15th:

#17 July 16th:

#18 July 18th:

#19 July 19th:

#20 July 20th:

#21 July 21st:

#22 July 22nd:

#23 July 23rd:

#24 July 24th:

Watch the rest of the series on Patreon.

TCRS Cover Patreon Chris Watts Phone Data Review 25


In TWO POLLYANNAS, published just after the plea deal was announced in early November 2018, I examine the Watts family through two very different perspectives – the Watts children.

The title TWO POLLYANNAS doesn’t refer to Bella and Ceecee, however, nor does it refer to the Watts couple. Yet the TWO POLLYANNAS behind the scenes were the fabric against which the whole case, and several precious lives, were broken.

$5 on Patreon is the ticket price to listen to the audiobook version of TWO FACE TWO POLLYANNAS. It will also give you access [for one month] to half a dozen other audiobooks on the $5 tier on Patreon, including Book 1 [TWO FACE THE MAN UNDERNEATH CHRISTOPHER WATTS] and Book 2 [BENEATH THE OIL].Fullscreen capture 20200725 222216Fullscreen capture 20200725 222228


The Smith Sighting is Absolutely Crucial to finding Madeleine McCann’s Abductor – both the abductor and Madeleine were seen at close quarters by several members of the Smith Family on the night of May 3rd at around 22:00

The individual seen by the Smith family is regarded as the prime suspect in Madeleine McCann’s disappearance.

Read the original police statement here.

Read about my investigation into the Smith sighting and simulation of the abduction, during my visit to Praia da Luz Portugal on the night of May 3rd, 2019 in DEEPER INTO DARKNESS.

« Older posts