TRUE CRIME ROCKET SCIENCE

True Crime Analysis, Breakthroughs, Insights & Discussions Hosted by Bestselling Author Nick van der Leek

Page 15 of 79

Chris Watts: How bad journalism fucks up the true crime time machine

Over at CrimeRocket II I’ve been doing a day-by-day recap of this case [follow #1yearagotodayCW or on Twitter at #yearagotodayCW]. The time machine is a useful, and powerful methodology to analyze these cases, in particular the hard-to-see family dynamics.

Journalism is great when it’s providing reports at the time, especially in the hours and first few days after a crime. But then the media gets afflicted with its typical ADD and it becomes lazier and less effective over the long term. Over the even longer term, this laziness can lead to a lack of accuracy, and eventually can start to distort or impinge on the facts as they happened. Here’s a case in point.

Chris Watts Update: Neighbor Says They Seemed Like A ‘Normal, Everyday” Family – International Business Times

Going by the headline alone, this looks like a topical update, doesn’t it? Some new news on the Chris Watts case, right? The article is dated July 31st, 2019. In fact the article is recycled from an interview conducted more than six months earlier. CrimeRocket blogged about it at the time.

Dr Oz Interview with Chris Watts’ Neighbor Nate Trinastich: 5 Key Insights

Oxygen also covered it in mid-January 2019:

The Neighbor Who Suspected Chris Watts From The Beginning – Oxygen

And the source is here, which refers to the “original” airing in mid-January 2019:

What Drove Chris Watts to Kill His Family? – Dr. Oz

So what, you might say. An article was resuscitated and recycled six months later, what’s the big deal?

Just this:

In the interview, Trinastich explains that the Watts family seemed like a “normal, everyday” family.

“Shanann was always really friendly. She came over, welcomed us to the neighborhood. The girls were always running around laughing, having a great time,” Trinastich said on the show. Watts, on the other hand, had a different demeanor than Shanann, Trinastich explained. He said, Watts was “real quiet” and sometimes was somewhat “standoffish.”

“There were times where he just didn’t want to wave or didn’t want to say anything, but usually he was nice.” Trinastich told Dr. Oz that Watts and Shanann “didn’t fight any more than any other couple,” but because his home was close to theirs, he could often overhear their arguments.

“They had a couple confrontations that I happened to see, but it was never him being a big, huge monster,” he said. On the day that Shanann and her daughters were murdered, Trinastich can be heard telling police on bodycam footage, according to KCNC-TV, a CBS affiliate in Denver, that he “heard them full out screaming at each other at the top of their lungs.” Trinastich tells the police that Watts “gets crazy.” The couple reportedly was fighting over Watts’ wanting a divorce so he could be with his mistress.

Going by this article, apparently the neighbor thought it was normal for Watts to be standoffish. But it wasn’t normal. He was introverted, yes, but he only became standoffish towards his wife in the first week of August, a week before the murders, while he was in North Carolina [when the neighbor wasn’t present].

It’s also a misappropriation of the facts to say the couple “was reportedly” arguing because he wanted a divorce to be with his mistress. Shan’ann never knew about Kessinger. That was why she murdered – to prevent her from knowing.

In terms of the neighbor’s appropriation of the term, what’s more likely is that by January Trinastich had read some of the discovery, and perhaps heard some of the media reports himself, and so adopted this term standoffish.

fullscreen-capture-20190116-173532

The term first enters the media narrative around August 21st, 2018 when Michelle Greer – who saw the couple in Myrtle Beach – thought Watts appeared standoffish.

Fullscreen capture 20190804 194818

Then the Daily Beast [citing the Greer account], repeated it ten days later in an excellent article dated August 31st.

Fullscreen capture 20190804 195338

There’s also Nickole Atkinson who, though she never uses the term standoffish, refers to the general theme of Watts not acting in a loving manner towards Shan’ann. The way ABC frames it [1:30 in this video], Shan’ann either told her this [which she did, and we know when she did] or Atkinson observed it firsthand [which she likely didn’t]. It’s unfortunate ABC aren’t more clear on the circumstances surrounding Nickole getting this insight.

Fullscreen capture 20190804 204523

But there’s also another fairly obscure reference to standoffish. Guess where it comes from?

Fullscreen capture 20190804 200734

The standoffish reference in WRAL.com’s account is from Aberdeen, North Carolina, and comes from inside Hair Jazz, the hairdresser where Shan’ann’s mother worked. Ironically it’s Sandi’s co-workers who’re telling the media that Watts appeared standoffish, not Sandi herself.

Fullscreen capture 20190804 200318.jpg

The date of this article from WRAL.com is August 16th, just three days after the murder and a few hours after Watts’ arrest. It precedes all the media references mentioned above by at least 5 days.  It’s even possible Michele Greer, who lives in North Carolina, read or saw the local content and adopted the term herself. Other media rebroadcast this term, some swapping the word standoffish for aloof.

Fullscreen capture 20190804 201345

In criminal psychology semantics matter, and there is a world of difference between standoffish [which is distancing] and aloof [which can mean arrogant, which Watts was not, certainly not in an obvious way].

Taken together, what does this all mean? It means the standoffishness took root in North Carolina. This also suggests the premeditation began to germinate there. By quoting, misquoting or appropriating these words, the media collaborate in muddying the timeline, and making it harder to see when things happened. Eventually the narrative becomes so polluted by this mixing process, it requires a True Crime Rocket Scientist to unravel it.

Crime News – July 2019

20190308083656002_hd

July 31st, 2019

1. #28 July 31st, 2018: When Chris Watts arrives at the airport in North Carolina, an alarm can be heard sounding in the background #1yearagotodayCW – CrimeRocket II

2. Already Married! Amanda Knox Secretly Wed Writer Chris Robinson In December – Radar Online

amanda-knows-married

3. Wife killer Jason Rohde wants bail to stop ‘hostile takeover’ of his company – News24

4. US teen accused of killing Italian police officer was charged over an assault in California – CNN

5. New suspect in JonBenet Ramsey murder case as serial killer theory emerges – The Miror


July 30th, 2019

1. #27 July 30th, 2018: Resetting Settings + Writing Love Letters #1yearagotodayCW – CrimeRocket II

Anadarko Petroleum sheds new light on Occidental finances ahead of vote – CNBC

Anadarko Petroleum Beats Profit Estimates on Higher Output – Oil and Gas 360

105868654-1556104155536gettyimages-453657166

2. Santino William Legan: 5 Fast Facts You Need to Know – Heavy


July 29th, 2019

1. The special Capturing Chris Watts is an inside look at the disturbing case of a father who killed his own family for the sake of an affair.

#26 July 29th, 2018: “You’re out of it from Playing” #1yearagotodayCW – CrimeRocket II

2. Gilroy Shooting

Suspect Identified in Mass Shooting at Gilroy Garlic Festival. Here’s What We Know So Far – Time

3. The end of a difficult road – Van Gogh Museum


July 27th, 2019

1. #24 July 27th, 2018: Friday #1yearagotodayCW – CrimeRocket II

2. Body of Colorado girl missing for 34 years found at pipeline site – CNN

3. DA’s Office: Death penalty off the table in slaying of Kelsey Berreth – The Gazette


July 26th, 2019

1. #23 July 26th, 2018: Money, Security and a “Good Mood” #1yearagotodayCW – CrimeRocket II

2. Remains Found Of Jonelle Matthews, Girl Who Disappeared In Greeley In 1984 – CBS Local


July 23rd, 2019

1. The family of Shan’ann Watts is addressing ‘constant harassment’ they say they’ve received from the public – Denver Post

#20 July 23rd, 2018: An Average Monday #1yearagotodayCW – CrimeRocket II

2. Two missing Canadians are now suspects in the deaths of three people – CNN

3. Investigator arrested for stealing Marc Batchelor’s phone – Citizen

oscaar3 (1)

4. INCEL: Elliot Rodger’s Twisted Manifesto [Pages 77 – 83] – CrimeRocket II


July 19th, 2019

1. #16 July 19th, 2018: An Unidentified Contact #1yearagotodayCW – CrimeRocket II

2. Howard Stern tells Kim Goldman: O.J. Simpson should be thrown off Twitter – USA Today


July 18th, 2019

1. #15 July 18th, 2018: Introducing The Secret Calculator #1yearagotodayCW – CrimeRocket II

#14 July 17th, 2018: “Just North of Roggen”: Photos of Flowers, and a pair of brand new Work Boots #1yearagotodayCW – CrimeRocket II

Nearly a Year After She Was Murdered by Her Dad, Today Would Have Been Celeste Watts’ 4th Birthday – People

Chris Watts Took Photos of Daughters Before Their Deaths & Now Blames Murders on Mistress – CafeMom

2. Charge against Kevin Spacey dropped after alleged victim pleads the 5th – CNN

Interesting defense – that there is exculpatory evidence on the accuser’s phone. Well, what about on the defendant’s phone?

Fullscreen capture 20190718 134607


July 16th, 2019

1. #13 July 16th, 2018: Fairy Tale, but with Interruptions #1yearagotodayCW – CrimeRocket II

Chris Watts Wants To ‘Make Up’ For Killing His Wife And Children, Friends Say – Oxygen

‘Their Words Should Be Like Wind’: Chris Watts Tells His Mom To Ignore His Critics – Oxygen

Just published!

Why Do Women Fall For Bad Boys?

The Plunder Youtube channel seems to have been shut down.

2. JonBenet Ramsey’s Ex-Photographer Caught Downloading ‘Inappropriate’ Images – Daily Mail

jonbenet-900x506

3. Marc Batchelor murder: Everything we know about the suspects so far – The South African

4. American scientist killed in Greece was raped, say police – CNN

American scientist who went missing on Crete was asphyxiated, Greek police say. Homicide investigation launched – CNN


July 13th, 2019

1. Chris Watts says he is a ‘servant of God’ – Crime Online

‘I’m Still A Dad! I’m Still A Son!’ Chris Watts Claims He’s A Changed Man – Oxygen

https://www.oxygen.com/crime-time/chris-watts-claims-hes-a-changed-man-hln-special

Chris Watts accomplice theory debunked – Scott Reisch

Chris Watt’s mistress’s giggly voicemails – Daily Mail

2. Casey Anthony was once ‘America’s most hated mom’: A look back at her trial – Yahoo

Judge Lets Casey Anthony Lawyer Off Harvey Weinstein’s NYC Defense Team – NBC New York


July 12th, 2019

Fullscreen capture 20190712 210334

1. Ahead of Slain Daughter’s 4th Birthday, Killer Dad Chris Watts Claims He’s a Changed Man in Prison – People

#9 July 12th, 2018: Can’t Sleep? #1yearagotodayCW – CrimeRocket II

2. True Crime: Breaking News: Gruesome New Details In Missing Mom Kelsey Berreth Case – Was She Killed In Front Of Her Toddler? – CBS Local

3. “I know the facts better than anyone.”

https://youtu.be/7jiNaEg5CsM


July 11th, 2019

1. “Like, he snapped” – Chris Watts Special on HLN – CrimeRocket II

#8 July 11th, 2018: Before and After Work Calls, and All Smiles on Social Media #1yearagotodayCW – CrimeRocket II

2. 11 years ago today:

Citing new DNA tests, prosecutors cleared JonBenet Ramsey’s parents and brother in the 1996 killing of the 6-year-old beauty queen in Boulder, Colo. 

But should they have been cleared?


July 10th, 2019

1. #7 July 10th, 2018: Nut Gate Aftermath #1yearagotodayCW – CrimeRocket II

ABC 20/20 | THE DEVIL IN DISGUISE – BitChute

Fullscreen capture 20190710 012534Fullscreen capture 20190710 012542Fullscreen capture 20190710 012548Fullscreen capture 20190710 012552

2. Massachusetts teen sentenced to life in prison in classmate’s beheading – CNN


July 9th, 2019

1. #6 July 9th, 2018: Nut Gate: “My heart is still racing 30 mins later and tears of anger…” – CrimeRocket II

Murders of Shanann Watts and her two daughters, Bella and Celeste, by Chris Watts spotlighted on 20/20 On ID – Monsters&Critics

2. Australian gender reveal party goes wrong as car bursts into flames – CNN

Officials release video from gender reveal party that ignited a 47,000-acre wildfire – CNN

3. If Famous Painters From Art History Were Modern-Day Urbanites – MyModernMet


July 8th, 2019

1. Is this where the Watts children breathed their last?– CrimeRocket II

#5 July 8th, 2018: The Day Before Nut Gate #1yearagotodayCW– CrimeRocket II

2. Scott Nelson takes the stand AGAIN and declares “I am a homicidal maniac”.

3. Jeffrey Epstein had vast trove of lewd photos of young-looking girls, prosecutors say – CNN

At a news conference Monday, prosecutor Berman and FBI Assistant Director in Charge William F. Sweeney Jr. cited the Miami Herald’s reporting last November in helping to make the case.

“I will say that we were assisted by some excellent investigative journalism,” Berman said. “When the facts presented themselves — as Mr. Berman hinted at — through investigative journalist work, we moved on it,” Sweeney said.190708153148-jeffrey-epstein-donald-trump-file-restricted-exlarge-169


July 7th, 2019

1. #4 July 7th, 2018: Watts takes Kessinger to the late show of Jurassic World Fallen Kingdom, and Shan’ann can’t reach him… #1yearagotodayCW – CrimeRocket II

Drone Photos of CERVI 319 – CrimeRocket II

Do you want to request information on the Watts case? Here’s how – CrimeRocket II

2. A 70-year-old marathoner hounded by cheating allegations is found dead in a river – CNN


July 6th, 2019

1. #3 July 6th, 2018: Sort out the Vivint sensor BEFORE I FLIP, plus pizza in Spring Lake #1yearagotodayCW – CrimeRocket II


July 5th, 2019

1.Chris Watts:  YouTuber Releases Tranche of New Photos from Weld County

#2 July 5th, 2018: Bella and Ceecee in Aberdeen, playing in a summer rainstorm #1yearagotodayCW – CrimeRocket II

The telephone conversations between Watts and his wife are one of the few areas we know virtually nothing about.

2. What Casey Anthony Is Up To 10 Years After Daughter Caylee’s Disappearance.

3. Scott Nelson verdict: Guilty of 1st-degree murder in kidnap, killing of Jennifer Fulford – Orlando Sentinel

‘I wasn’t planning on killing this woman:’ Scott Nelson testifies in caregiver’s death – WFTV

Scott Nelson trial coverage:


July 4th, 2019

1. #1 July 4th, 2018: Chris Watts and his mistress have a flaming row #1yearagotodayCW – CrimeRocket II

For the next 5 weeks, CrimeRocket II will be doing a recap of the Chris Watts case timeline during the summer of 2018 based on references in the Discovery Documents and the CBI Report.

2. Should schools and buildings be torn down after mass shootings? Columbine looks to others as it struggles with trespassers – Colorado Sun

Columbine High School, r m

3. Far-right arsonist sets himself on fire as he attempts to burn down synagogue – CNN


July 3rd, 2019

1. Seeing Double? Rebecca’s Height at the Door – CrimeRocket II

Exclusive: News 8 reenacts the Coronado mansion mystery – CBS8

2. Meredith Kercher’s Killer Rudy Guede Granted Day Release From Prison – International Business Times


July 2nd, 2019

1. Chris Watts Reveals New Details About How He Murdered His Family – Crime Time

Christopher Watts describes killing his daughters in chilling jailhouse interviewing – CBS

2. Jason Rohde granted leave to appeal conviction and sentence for killing wife – News24

July 1st, 2019

1. Coming Soon in July…

Fullscreen capture 20190630 110126

2. DEATH AT THE MANSION – The Final[e] Analysis [Part 3 of 3] – CrimeRocket II

Rebecca Zahau & Max Shacknai, PART II – Apple Podcast

3. Billionaire Carl Icahn steps up his fight with Occidental over Anadarko deal – CNBC

Icahn, one of industry’s most powerful activist investors, cast himself as one of the deal’s most fervent critics by charging that Occidental’s $38 billion bid for Anadarko was too expensive and could endanger Occidental’s future if oil prices sink.

The deal has been approved by the U.S. Federal Trade Commission and is expected to close in the second half of the year.

“It is important to add new directors to Occidental’s Board of Directors to oversee future extraordinary transactions like the Anadarko transaction and to ensure that they are not consummated without stockholder approval when appropriate,” Icahn said in a statement to shareholders on Wednesday.

Icahn owned a $1.6 billion stake in Occidental as of May 30. “The recent Occidental Petroleum fiasco is a great example of how CEOs and boards will go to great lengths, including ‘betting the company’ to serve their own agendas,” Icahn said in a statement about the Caesars-Eldorado merger. “If their bet is successful, they and possibly their shareholders win, but if it is unsuccessful, only the shareholders lose.”

While Icahn has said publicly that the Occidental-Anadarko deal likely would not be derailed, his filing illustrates how he wants to make sure that nothing similar happens again.  He said Occidental lacks effective corporate governance and that its directors made mistakes in how and at what cost they pursued the acquisition of Anadarko, according to the filing.

Occidental Petroleum Stock Is Falling Because Merger Drama Isn’t Its Only Challenge – Barrons

Will Occidental’s $38B Gamble Be a Shale Win? – Rigzone

Occidental Petroleum, ranked 167 in Fortune 500, recently snatched victory from Chevron with a winning bid of $38 billion for one of the largest U.S.  Independent oil and gas companies; Anadarko ranked just 237, making this the largest American oil and gas merger in more than a decade and the 11th biggest ever, for an energy and power company, according to business data provider Refinitiv. 

Back in April, Chevron Corporation announced its $33 billion bid for Anadarko which was quickly superseded by Occidental Petroleum’s shut-out bid worth around 20 per cent more to Anadarko’s shareholders. Vicki Hollub, Occidental Petroleum’s CEO, bid of $38 billion was secured by $10 billion in backing from Warren Buffet, CEO Berkshire Hathaway. Buffet’s support enabled Vicki Hollub to avoid the need to put the deal to a vote of her own shareholders.

Paying for the purchase

Occidental plans to sell assets in the U.S. and Africa.  Proposed disposals include Anadarko’s pipeline business in the U.S. worth an estimated $7.5 billion, as well as its wells in the Gulf of Mexico said to be worth around US$6 billion. Potential buyers could include BP, Exxon or Shell.  The sale of Anadarko’s assets in Africa, worth perhaps $8.8bn to French oil major Total has been agreed, according to recent media reports. However, this deal needs the full approval of Algeria’s government before it can be completed.

Challenges

Having outbid Chevron and perhaps before any asset sales take place, Occidental must reduce its debt and pay an 8 percent dividend on the $10 billion of preference shares it sold to Berkshire Hathaway. The Anadarko purchase doubles the size of Occidental and will saddle the company with debts of around $50bn, in return for a business that has been failing to cover its capital spending from its operating cash flows.

Another oil price crash bringing oil below $40 a barrel could jeopardize Occidental’s financial position. In addition, there is growing public concern, backed up by recent studies by the Universities of Texas and Dallas, that the re-injection of waste water into the ground produced from fracking, could be triggering increased seismic activity in previously dormant areas. Unless the industry can reassure the public by finding a solution to prevent such “earthquakes,” public opinion could constrict further growth in fracking activity. 

The real prize

Vicki Hollub has made it clear that Occidental’s real interest lies in Anadarko’s 10,000  drilling sites in the Permian Basin, which is currently one of the world’s most productive, producing 3.8 million barrels a day at the end of 2018, according to reasearch firm Rystad Energy. In addition, the Permian is one of the cheapest places for oil drilling in the world. Some Permian drillers can make money at $40 per barrel.

Before the takeover, Occidental was already the largest owner of drilling rights in the Permian and has developed an in-depth knowledge of the Permian plays, especially the Delaware Basin. On average, Occidental’s shale wells in the region have produced 74 percent more oil in their first six months than Anadarko’s. Also Occidental expects that, with economies of scale and its scientific and logistical capabilities, to boost recovery rates of 6 percent today to at least 14 percent by employing the “huff-and-puff” method: pumping carbon dioxide into a well, waiting for a while, and then allowing the oil to start flowing out mixed with the gas.

Hopefully, things will go well for Occidental following its successful bid. Nevertheless, some investors remain skeptical of the promised productivity gains and are concerned by the possibility that policies to mitigate the effect of climate change could leave Occidental with stranded assets sooner rather than later.

159024_582x327

Romancing the shale: How Oxy won over Anadarko – Houston Chronicle

The documents recount the whirlwind bidding war that followed as Occidental executives jetted from Houston to Paris to Omaha, Neb. to make the deals that would allow Oxy to up its cash offer to nearly 80 percent of the purchase price and gain the consent of Anadarko’s board. As Oxy CEO Vicki Hollub said the company’s annual meeting last month, “We were not going to let it be taken away.”

The filing also disclosed that Anadarko CEO Al Walker, who has led the company since 2012, will walk away with severance package of $98 million when the merger is completed, part of $300 million to be shared among Anadarko’s six senior executives. Here is how it all unfolded:

The summer of ’17

Hollub first contacted Walker about a potential sale in July 2017. They met in August and continued the talks into September 2017, when Oxy offered close to $31 billion in an all-stock deal. In October, Walker told Hollub he questioned the logic of a deal. Hollub responded by offering a mix of cash and stock.

The Anadarko board met in mid-November 2017 to discuss the deal and unanimously rejected it, concluding that it wouldn’t boost shareholder value and the financial risks that Oxy would take on could make it difficult for Oxy to increase or even maintain dividends to investors.

On HoustonChronicle.com: Oxy CEO defends Anadarko deal to shareholders

Undeterred, Oxy made another cash-and-stock offer in January 2018, upping its bid to about $38 billion with up to half of the funds in cash. That valued Anadarko at about $76 per share. At the time, Anadarko stock was selling for more than $58 per share with a stock market value of almost $30 billion.

But with oil prices rising and confident in Anadarko’s future as as a standalone company, the board again rejected the offer in February 2018. Walker, however, let Hollub know all was not lost: an all-cash offer might still win over the board.

Throughout the rest of 2018, Hollub conveyed Oxy’s ongoing interest to Walker, but formal negotiations went dormant. All stayed quiet — until February.

Thwarting the Chevron way

Disappointed but undeterred, Oxy quietly let it be known that it had offered more than Chevron, preparing the ground for a bidding war. Oxy plotted behind the scenes, waiting until April 24 to go public with a new $38 billion offer, half cash and half stock.

1102834-15588331213887491_origin

4. The secondhand harms of drinking impact 1 in 5 adults, study says – CNN

If Amanda Knox is living like this, why is she asking us for money for her wedding?

Fullscreen capture 20190803 144712

Knox purchased a 3,650 square-foot, three-bedroom, three-bathroom home on March 13th, 2019 for $718 000. The request for public donations immediately followed her “Innocence Project” trip to Italy, in July 2019, three-and-a-half months later.

Secretly Married Amanda Knox Bought $718K Mansion Before Asking For Wedding Funds – Radar Online

Amanda Knox allegedly bought $718K home before soliciting wedding donations, according to report – Yahoo

I DO! AMANDA KNOX GETS ENGAGED TO NOVELIST BOYFRIEND CHRISTOPHER ROBINSON – Radar Online

Amanda Knox Suffers Horrific Christmas Death Tragedy – Radar Online

genMid.1402986_1_1genMid.1402986_2_1genMid.1402986_3_1genMid.1402986_4_1genMid.1402986_5_1genMid.1402986_6_1genMid.1402986_7_1genMid.1402986_8_1genMid.1402986_10_1genMid.1402986_11_1genMid.1402986_13_1genMid.1402986_14_1genMid.1402986_15_1genMid.1402986_16_1genMid.1402986_17_1

Fullscreen capture 20190803 151245Fullscreen capture 20190803 151353Fullscreen capture 20190802 222330

August 1, 2018: Chris Watts’ First Day in North Carolina #1yearagotodayCW

Going by the Phone Data Review, nothing much happens on August 1st. After entire pages filled with mischievous activity preceding his reunion with his family, on the day he’s with his family there’s almost nothing. Watts takes some photos of his kids at The Pavilion Park in Myrtle Beach in the evening and then its on to the next day.

Fullscreen capture 20190726 102549-001

0_Final-family-vacation-Tourist-who-captured-eerie-picture-of-murdered-pregnant-mom-with-her-two-da

Okay then, moving right along to #30, August 2nd-

Whoah whoah whoah.  Not so fast.

giphy.gif

Think of the context here. Watts has been on an epic high, had the time of his life with his mistress for several weeks, but now he’s back in the thick of things, not only with his wife and children, but his in laws. Is there a seamless transition for him from the bachelor life back to this one? And of course now the roles are reversed. While he was with Kessinger, he was trying to keep his wife in the dark and sort of juggle his obligations to them with what he wanted to do with his mistress.

Now that he’s with his family, does he try to keep his mistress in the dark about anything, or does he persist in keeping his family in the dark. Does he try to be in two places at once – dutifully hanging out with the family in the sense of sort of just showing up, meanwhile staying in regular contact with Kessinger who must be feeling in need of reassurance.

It turns out to be a bit of both. He is keeping his mistress in the dark about something. Him and Shan’ann aren’t separated…well, not until August 1st. And the night of July 31st leading into August 1st is really the first time Shan’ann realizes something is seriously wrong. It’s only on the first night with her man that Shan’ann is alerted for the first time that he might not be [with her, that is].

At the same time Watts is also keeping Shan’ann in the dark. He won’t say why he’s feelings have changed. And he’ll take the whole week to figure out 1) how much they’ve changed 2) what that means and 3) how he intends to fix the situation.

This strategy is exactly what we’d expect from an introvert, and because of this Shan’ann at first isn’t quite sure what it means. She’s used to being in control and controlling the situation, so she sort of figures he’ll come round, and after a few pokes, jabs and barbs, she’ll get him back to jumping when she says jump, and back to dancing to her tune.

This situation starts the moment Watts arrives in Aberdeen the previous night, July 31st. You’ll notice Shan’ann texts him, asking him at 21:49 for a wake-up call at 05:00. Watts responds, “Yup, I got it. Love you.” Shan’ann texts back, “Love you, too.”

Watts probably got very little sleep the night before [at Kessinger], unless he was able to sleep on the plane. At any rate, why are Watts and his wife texting each other about wake up calls and loving each other? Why not simply say it to each other? Isn’t it obvious? Because on his first night in North Carolina they’re sleeping apart. In fact, Shan’ann is sleeping on the couch presumably in the family lounge.

If Watts was very tired, he may have used this as an excuse to go to bed early, either simply because he was tired, or to forestall a deep discussion in the bedroom and in bed, or both. It’s also possible that Shan’ann was upset by Watts’ cool response to her at the airport, and so, to demonstrate her pique, she would sleep on the couch and also make sure her family [the Rzuceks] were aware of what was happening. In other words, the real world version of coercion, but instead of using Facebook as a platform, she was using the family lounge.

If the texts don’t seem adequate proof that something was afoot that first night, then how about Shan’ann’s brother’s statement to CBI agents Matt Sailor and Traci Schwartzbauer on August 21st [Discovery Documents, page 685].

Fullscreen capture 20190801 130309

Frankie Rzucek was also in the home, and noticed Shan’ann sleeping on the couch. Think about it. She’s pregnant, she’s in her own families’ home, and she’s sleeping on the couch. Does this seem like Shan’ann having a fit and electing to sleep there, or Watts demanding to sleep alone?

Now, we might want to dial back the melodrama and say it was a one-off. Because Frankie also says this:

Fullscreen capture 20190801 130838

But the next night the Watts family headed to Myrtle Beach for the week, so Frankie wouldn’t know what the sleeping arrangements were after that. It’s easy to find out what they were, because Shan’ann talks to her friends about crying herself to sleep all week. We’ll get to that in due course. At this point we only want to be clear about the state of mind Watts is in when he arrives in North Carolina, and how quickly the battle lines are drawn.

Although we can’t rely on everything Watts says, on this point he lets slip that the moment he arrived in North Carolina, everything was different.

Fullscreen capture 20190801 131607

Now, another aspect Frankie raises is that the moment Watts arrived in North Carolina, Shan’ann became sick. 

Fullscreen capture 20190801 131905

It may be that the stress and strain of what was happening made her feel sick, or it may be that she was acting up to curry sympathy. In this context it’s even more bizarre that Shan’ann ended up sleeping on the couch.

We also need to pay urgent attention to Frankie knowing Watts was “acting standoffish” on Day 1, but “they” [presumably Frankie and his parents] did not think much about it. 

Let’s hover over this aspect for a minute. Shan’ann is sick and out of sorts, Watts arrives in town after not seeing his family for 5 weeks. His wife is 13 weeks pregnant. Their son/brother in law is sleeping under the same roof but they didn’t think much about him being standoffish to their daughter/son?

If we take this statement at face value, it suggests that the Rzuceks took Shan’ann with a pinch of salt, not only her tantrums, but her health scares. In this respect, one can say they found themselves in the same boat as Watts, and allegorically at least, let Shan’ann act out on the couch while they slept in their beds.

On this issue, let’s look at an interview with the Ruzuceks where they were asked specifically if they noticed Shan’ann wasn’t happy:

At 1:17 in the clip below, the ABC reporter mentions Shan’ann appearing to have the perfect life, and that she was happy. Both Sandi and Frank are adamant here that Shan’ann was “absolutely” happy, although Sandi seems more certain of herself than Shan’ann’s father.

It beggars belief in true crime when someone ends up dead, that the family and friends stick to a narrative that everything was perfect, it was all a wonderful fairy tale until the moment it was a nightmare. This spiel repeats itself so often in true crime it’s virtually a cliche. But the explanation is simple. The murderer is a monster who just snapped. No further context necessary. No underlying dynamics are relevant. Except they are.

On August 1st, the morning after Shan’ann’s headaches and vomiting and sleeping alone on the couch seems to have passed. She’s excited about August and Thriving again!

I’m so excited about August! Girls and I Fly home August 7th! I fly to Scottsdale Aug 10-12 for an amazing weekend with my Le-Vel family! Gender Reveal for Baby Watts #3! Our team is having lots of success, growth both personally and business, several new friends starting their Thrive Experience and lots of new Promoters who decided to change their life! Lots of excitement, Lots to be Thankful for!

You know what I love about waking up everyday…It’s a brand new day to have a fresh start, to be better than I was yesterday, To help someone feel better and happier, to make someone smile and laugh!

I am just truly blessed and love waking up thankful and happy!

If you are not happy, it’s up to you to change that!

Everyone have an amazing day and absolutely fantastic month!

On August 1st, what’s missing from this anecdote? There’s zero mention of a significant change in her life – her husband is back at her side after 5 weeks apart.

Besides that, Shan’ann seems to be in a position to counsel and provide guidance to others less fortunate than herself.

I am just truly blessed and love waking up thankful and happy! 

Now imagine if you’re Sandi, Frank and Frankie, and you know the Shan’ann on the couch, you’ve seen her, and then you see that. One reason you wouldn’t want to be too truthful about the real situation is because the above is a sales pitch. It’s how Shan’ann makes money, by trying to convince the world how happy and well they are [and subsequent to her murder, the Rzuceks inherited her sales business].

It doesn’t take a genius, an expert, an FBI agent or even a rocket scientist to gauge the level of harmony or happiness from these pictures and video.

bf794bfe-b7a0-46d3-9966-5a3753f0ae9b-VPC_WATTS_FAM_UPDATE_DESK_THUMBFullscreen capture 20190801 122125

At 0:55 in the clip below Shan’ann is documenting on Facebook how happy she and the family are. It’s the first time the kids are at the beach and Bella is mostly terrified [and unwilling to hold her father’s hand]. Shan’ann never mentions Watts, and Watts never talks to her. Frank seems to tippy-toe in and out of the periphery. It’s a stilted scene, but with Shan’ann in control, her friends assume all is well. They assume Watts’ silence is just the same old introvert they’ve seen in other videos. But it’s not the same Chris.

Fullscreen capture 20190801 135723

While he stands dumbly with Shan’ann’s camera mercilessly trained on him, Watts must be wondering whether Kessinger will see this. And if Shan’ann is suspicious of an affair, she will want her [whoever it is] to see it.

The question is, did she, and if she did, what did she think?

https://youtu.be/Tr0b1Up7TaA?t=55

 

“I wonder if, on August 13, 2019, they will try to recreate the events in the driveway. What time is sunrise in Colorado on this date? Can this have an effect on shadows? Is that why the auction has been postponed?”

The above quotation is from a reader’s comment, thank you. Quite correct. If I was in Colorado, that’s what I would do. But will the investigators? Are the Weld County investigators still scratching their heads about this case.?

One can really not over-emphasize the importance of simulating a crime scene in real time. There are often many subtleties and ordinary realities that one overlooks.

In the Watts case there are several light sources to consider, along with the slight concave slope of the driveway and small groves in the cement [running vertically and diagonally] to consider.

Now that we’re on the subject, it should also be noted that the Lexus was parked on the left side inside the garage. Since Watts backed up his truck so that it was slightly in the garage, it stands to reason the truck was parked to the right of the Lexus [in terms of the driveway]. This is difficult to see from the tight angle of Trinatich’s video camera, and with the tree obscuring the view.

But we can see even when Nickole Atkinson parked on the driveway, she parked relatively more on the right side. We also know Watts carried a gas can with plenty of space between the tree and the side of the truck facing the tree and camera.

fullscreen-capture-20190116-161421

maxresdefaultFullscreen capture 20190731 174527

When we look at the idiosyncrasies on the driveway, where are they?

Fullscreen capture 20190731 173255

And we can see from the shadows of the defense team carrying the containers, the legs are almost invisible from the perspective of the road, while the containers are larger than the actual figures. if someone bent down to lift one of those containers off the ground and transfer it to the back seat [while several light sources were shining from the front and behind], we can see how it may appear as something moving forward of its own accord.

fullscreen-capture-20180922-003310

Incidentally, sunrise in Colorado on August 13th, 2018 is 06:10 sharp. Watts backed his truck into the driveway approximately an hour earlier, at around 05:18 and left the scene at 05:46, 24 minutes before dawn broke.

DksZcYwVAAA2GsK28911775001_5822952482001_5822949617001-vs

Chris Watts: One Year Ago Today

Tomorrow will be exactly fourteen days prior to the triple family murder that shook the sleepy town of Frederick, Colorado last year, and rocked America.  I’ve been tracking the timeline of the case in real-time since July 4th this year, and we’re now up to 26 separate timeline posts. You can view them chronologically at this link or use these:

#1 – #6

#7 – #16

#17 – #26

If you have any comments or observations, please make use of the #1yearagotodayCW hashtag on Twitter.

Fullscreen capture 20190729 105731

 

Were the children carried into the truck in transparent plastic containers?

One thing there was no shortage of, and one thing that wouldn’t be missed from the Watts’ home, were large plastic containers. The basement area was crammed full of them.

fullscreen-capture-20181204-223626

These containers were also large enough to place a small child inside, and put the lid back on.

We know for a fact that Watts carried out at least two containers to his track, so doesn’t it make sense that he put each child in each container? When Watts mentioned “containers” to the FBI’s Grahm Coder he stuttered. He also corrected himself, first stating container [singular] before correcting himself to containers [plural].

Fullscreen capture 20190717 171728

It also seemed a little strange that Watts would provide some detail for why he was placing these large, transparent containers on the backseat of his track. Incidentally, isn’t that where the girls were supposed to have sat?

maxresdefault

Fullscreen capture 20190717 171629Fullscreen capture 20190717 171611Fullscreen capture 20190717 171556Fullscreen capture 20190717 171930

In CSA Yokum’s crime scene report he noticed two large containers in the backseat area of the truck. Thus we have a problem.

Fullscreen capture 20190718 223603

Can you see what it is?

Fullscreen capture 20190718 225256Fullscreen capture 20190718 225441-001

Fullscreen capture 20190718 225001Fullscreen capture 20190718 225108

fullscreen-capture-20181204-224028

Two Possible Cadaver Dog Alerts that have been Overlooked

We know for a fact that Watts disposed of items – including at least one blanket – in a dumpster at or near 6507 Black Mesa, which was under construction at the time.

In the K9 search below, the dog is barking throughout the time they’re in Black Mesa road. At 06:10 in the clip below, the dog handler says: “He’s picking up scent from the house,” which we now know was true.

Notice all the red dumpsters lining the side of the road going down Black Mesa.

At this time when the dog is barking, they’re standing right beside a large, red construction dumpster. They’re also standing right beside a house that’s under construction. The cops don’t seem to know or inquire about the schedule for when the dumpsters are emptied, but it was each Tuesday, possibly in the morning prior to or after the search.

The red arrows denote the route Watts took on August 13th. The green is the route he should have taken home.

In retrospect it’s unfortunate that law enforcement weren’t able to coordinate with the K9 unit while they were out there to specifically look at 6507 Black Mesa, based on the GPS data. From the discovery [page 555] it appears the GPS data was only provided in the late afternoon or early evening of August 14th, by Tony Huskey, Anadarko’s regional security manager.

It appears the cops only inspected the scene properly on August 22nd, more than a week after they’d received the data. Officer Lines’ report neglects to mention the activity along Black Mesa, or the dog handler Jayne Zmijewski ‘s comment about the dog picking up scents from the house.

There appears to be a second alert, or certainly interest, in Bella’s bedroom. It’s at about 19:30 in the clip below.

https://youtu.be/xGdsE86giA4?t=1164

More: On his way back to the crime scene, Chris Watts first went to look at a house recommended by his realtor… [Updated]

Cadaver Dog Alerts inside #2825 Saratoga Trail [29th Tranche]

What does Handwriting Analysis say about Chris Watts?

At 2:07 in the clip below, Sherlock Holmes commences a rudimentary analysis of his arch-nemesis – using graphology.

https://youtu.be/rWQpxTfGa1Y?t=127

Sherlock Holmes uses Professor Moriarty’s “inscription” to analyze him. He discerns:

“…a highly creative, yet meticulous nature. The slant and pressure of the handwriting tells Mr. Holmes he is dealing with a narcissist with a complete lack of empathy, and pronounced inclination toward moral insanity.”

Can we discern this from Watts’ scrawl?

What we discern from the neatness and the modesty of the writing is a meticulous nature. In both attachments below there isn’t a single scratched out word.

Fullscreen capture 20190716 152631

Where the letters are joined to one another, there is sense of continuity, of logic. This implies someone who writes in cursive is more logical, whereas someone who separates their letters might be more imaginative. Some analysts believe print handwriting [where there are only separate letters] makes analysis impossible.

In the above sample, written at the end of July 2018, we see printed words initially, but as early as the second “The” the letters start connecting. By the 4th and 5th “the’s” the letters are more connected, and so are other letters, the c and t in addicted, the m and e in time. Even so, the words in the card are far less connected than in the note to his mother. Look at everyone, even, celebrate and there in the sample below.

Where there’s combination of print and cursive it indicates the ability to be flexible in difficult circumstances. An excess of block printing may indicate barriers to intimacy or an inability to express emotions. Block printing is also more associated with impulsivity than the more logical cursive style. The printer is more intuitive than logical.

Fullscreen capture 20190712 003232-001

In Watts’ card to Kessinger, there is an overall left slant to the handwriting. Notice the first two K’s in Nikki, and all the I’s are slanted to the left. The left-slant style betrays a loner-type individual who prefers to be behind the scenes. If a right-handed person has left leaning handwriting, this may express rebellion.

In the signature below, the letters appear larger than Watts’ usual style, and proportionately quite large compared to other signatures. The size and wildly extravagant S possibly indicate anger at having to sign the document.

Fullscreen capture 20190717 224842

A low tail in the letter d can indicate a lack of ambition. Closed o’s show a tendency toward introversion. The overall size and spacing of the letters confirms a reserved, introverted type. The mismatch in Watts’ writing stems from the relatively constrained style versus the use of exclamation marks. In his brief card to Kessinger there are two instances of double exclamation marks, and in the short excerpt to his mother, two exclamation marks. This seems to indicate an emotion person beneath the reserved exterior.

A possible sign of dishonesty in handwriting is when the slant changes direction. Two instances of this are the second M in Mom and the h in the first there, in Watts’ letter to Cindy Watts. Arguably there’s a third instance, the y in you is also slanting to the right.

By comparison, look at Shan’ann’s handwriting and signature [note, based on the date, the signature at the bottom might be forged by Watts].

Fullscreen-capture-20181228-091402fullscreen-capture-20190227-110922

« Older posts Newer posts »